On Sunday, November 2, tech billionaire Elon Musk renewed his warning about America’s fiscal outlook. He mentioned the federal debt has grown so giant that it could’t be fastened with no main leap in productiveness.
“If AI and robots don’t resolve our nationwide debt, we’re toast,” Elon Musk warned, elevating contemporary concern that US funds are heading towards a breaking level.
His remark resurfaced in new protection of a latest podcast look, at a time when the nationwide debt exceeds $38 trillion and curiosity prices stay excessive.
It climbed from $37Tn in August to $38Tn by October 22, marking the quickest $1Tn enhance outdoors the pandemic interval, and coming throughout an ongoing federal shutdown.
US authorities information shows whole public debt reached about $38.11Tn as of October. 30, based on the Treasury’s “Debt to the Penny” database.
(Source: Congressional Budget Office)
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Does Issuing Debt in US {Dollars} Defend America From Chapter?
The FY2025 deficit was roughly $1.8 trillion, based mostly on estimates from the Congressional Price range Workplace.
A rising a part of the issue is curiosity. Price range analysts say these funds have at instances matched or handed a number of the nation’s largest packages over the previous two years.
The Committee for a Accountable Federal Price range famous that curiosity prices surpassed spending on nationwide protection and Medicare for a lot of FY2024, and present trackers show curiosity expenses transferring towards $1 trillion in 2025.
The ten-year Treasury yield ended final week close to 4.1%, based mostly on the Fed’s constant-maturity data.

The unfold between the 10-year and 2-year yields is now barely constructive after a protracted inversion. Each recommend that borrowing will keep costly even when the economic system slows.
The newest month-to-month assessment from the Congressional Price range Workplace estimates the FY2025 deficit at about $1.8 trillion. That’s roughly 6% of US GDP and stays little modified from FY2024, even after accounting for tariff income and shifts.
Longer-run CBO forecasts point out that federal debt held by the general public will rise from roughly 100% of GDP in 2025 to roughly 107% by 2029. The report warns that the share will proceed to rise if present legal guidelines keep in place.
Critics say Elon Musk is solely saying what bond markets already fear about: curiosity prices are increased for good, and Washington’s probability to stabilize the steadiness sheet is shrinking.
Others say the US isn’t on the verge of chapter as a result of it points debt in its personal foreign money and nonetheless advantages from deep international demand. Even so, they argue the nation wants a reputable plan to gradual the expansion of borrowing.
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