Could a Relief Rally Be Coming?

Santiment has solely recorded XRP sentiment this bearish twice prior to now two years, and each situations have been adopted by notable value jumps.

Retail sentiment for XRP has dropped to its third-worst degree in two years, in accordance with new social knowledge from Santiment.

In response to the analytics agency, with the token shedding about 63% of its worth during the last 9 months, conversations round it have grow to be more and more bearish. Nevertheless, for affected person merchants ready for a contrarian sign, Santiment says this type of excessive pessimism has usually preceded short-term value recoveries.

Social Sentiment Hits Excessive Worry Zone

Santiment, which tracks thousands and thousands of social media posts each day utilizing pure language processing to categorise commentary as bullish or bearish, flagged the most recent temper in a publish on X on April 13, the place it famous that the ratio of constructive to damaging XRP feedback on platforms like X and Reddit has dipped into what it referred to as the FUD zone.

This, it mentioned, was simply the third time within the final two years that bearish sentiment had reached such a degree, and accordingly, the platform’s analysts repeated a line they’ve lengthy held to, that costs usually transfer in the wrong way of crowd sentiment.

“Traditionally, when bullish feedback get changed by this degree of bearish ones, the likelihood of a reduction rally climbs considerably larger,” wrote the Santiment staff.

Additionally they added that given how retail merchants have been turning their backs on XRP after it plunged by roughly 63% in 9 months, the present bearish surroundings was ripe for affected person buyers to capitalize on.

Santiment gave examples of two situations when excessive damaging readings have been adopted by notable upticks: February and October 2025. Within the first prevalence, the agency recorded 0.96 bullish feedback per 1.00 bearish, whereas within the second, it mentioned there have been 1.01 bullish feedback per 1.00 bearish posts. In each situations, the Ripple token bounced again quickly after, with the analysts significantly describing the post-February restoration as “BIG.”

Combined Bag for XRP

The background for the sentiment studying is a token that has had a bruising run. After XRP set an all-time excessive value of $3.65 in July 2025, it spent the next months sliding, even dipping near $1.20 at one level in February 2026.

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On the time of writing, the #4 token by market cap was buying and selling at round $1.33, down greater than 5% prior to now 30 days and sitting inside a 7-day vary of $1.30 to $1.38. It is usually down practically 40% over the previous 12 months and sits virtually 64% under the all-time excessive.

Nevertheless, on the ETF entrance, spot XRP funds recorded their strongest single day of inflows since February 6 on April 10, pulling in greater than $9 million, in accordance with knowledge from SoSoValue. The overall for final week got here to about $11.75 million in web inflows, reversing a stretch that included a number of days of zero reported exercise.

On the technical facet, chart watchers like Crypto Tony are maintaining a tally of $1.39 as a near-term line within the sand, suggesting that XRP has to reclaim that degree to alter its short-term bearish development. In the meantime, their fellow analyst CRYPTOWZRD famous {that a} bounce from the $1.32 assist, if paired with a significant transfer for Bitcoin, may set off a extra substantial rally.